April 20, 2021

4ヶ月周期!

新型コロナの流行だけど。

昨年の第一波から、流行の波の増える時期と減る時期が”ほぼ”4ヶ月周期になってるとおもう。

第一波→2020年4月

第二波→2020年8月

第三波→2020年12月

第四波→現在(2021年4月)


ということは、第五波が8月頃に来るのか・・・?

まさにハンマーアンドダンス!!

コレは長期戦になるぞ、と、山中教授がおっしゃってましたよね。

だからこれはまだまだ収束しない、とおもう。

もう1年以上テレワーク体制やってるけど、あともう1年位がまん、かなあ?

昨年4月に引きこもり体制をはじめるにあたって、

「とりあえず第一波を凌いで、夏には小康状態になるから、そこで第二波に備えて事務所に出て色々準備しておく。第二波は冬頃に来ると予測」

していたのですが、まさか7月に第二波が始まるとは思わなかったorz

ワクチンは政府の発表通りには進捗しないと予想。

暫くは変異株の更なる進化とワクチンのアップデートのいたちごっこが続く。

患者数が(世界的に)多いので、変異株がどうしても発生してしまう。

集団免疫獲得地域が世界に広がって、患者が減って、依って変異株の発生頻度が下がるまでいたちごっこが続くので。

みんなもう我慢できない!と思ってるようですが、あと1年くらいは続くよ、この状態は。

「みんなの我慢状態」が解消するのは2022年までずれ込むと予測します。

私も正直、引きこもり体制には飽き飽きしていますが。早く終わって欲しい。

ところでオリンピックやるのかねえ?
わが家はチケット抽選全滅だったのでどうでもいいや状態になっていますが。


Posted by thin at 19:49:51 | from category: ニッキ | DISALLOWED (TrackBack) TrackBacks
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Ads are placed on your: landing pages, phones, YouTube videos, social media accounts, websites, and on links to your other ads.

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(December 24, 2021 14:28:49)
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